OSLO - The world is running out of time to develop new seed
varieties to confront climate change and head off food shortages
that could affect billions of people, experts said.
Marking the first anniversary on Thursday of the opening of
a "doomsday" seed vault on the island of Spitsbergen
in the Norwegian Arctic, they said that people in Africa and
Asia were most at risk from a lack of climate-proof crops.
"It’s a question of urgency," Cary Fowler,
head of the Global Crop Diversity Trust, told Reuters by telephone
with other experts from Spitsbergen. He said governments needed
to invest more in breeding new seeds.
"Unlike the bank that needs to be bailed out this week,
this problem is going to be an emergency 20 years from now.
But by then it will be too late" he said.
The vault, blasted from icy rock 1,000 km (600 miles) from
the North Pole, opened on February 26, 2008 and has doubled
its holdings to 200 million seeds in the past year, representing
400,000 varieties. It is run by the trust, the Norwegian government
and the Nordic Genetic Resource Center in Sweden.
"My opinion is that not enough is being done" to
develop new varieties of crops, said David Lobell, an expert
in food security and the environment at Stanford University.
There was work under way to help develop crops that can withstand
drought and floods but exposure to very high temperatures had
not been a focus historically, he said.
Priorities could be southern Africa to help people heavily
dependent on crops such as maize in a region likely to be hard
hit by climate change, he said. Similarly, India and Pakistan
faced disruptions to crops such as rice and wheat.
"We need some tremendous advances," said David Battisti,
an atmospheric sciences professor at the University of Washington.
"The whole world will be stressed at the same time"
because of global warming, he said. Crops can take a decade
to breed and test, with no guarantee of success.
Battisti authored a study in the journal Science last month
that predicted that climate change would disrupt growth by both
crops and livestock and cause serious food shortages for half
the world’s population.
Crops cannot simply be moved to new areas as the climate warms
because soils, pests, insect pollinators, daylight hours and
other factors differ even if temperatures seem suitable.
"It’s not going to be enough to create heat-tolerant
maize," Fowler said. "We are going to need new varieties
appropriate in Ghana, in South Africa, or Brazil. You need crops
adapted all over the place." – Reuters